I'm willing to bet that Israel will not wait and give Iran it's discretion on when they will attack Israel through Lebanon. Hezbullah is clearly part of the Lebanese government and they are building up forces in contradiction with UN 1701. Sadly unless the world itself acts and does the right thing... Israel will be making a sacrifice play. Attacking Lebanon will not only cost Israel Lebanese lives, but many Jewish lives. There is no alternative to survive.
Israel may pre-emptively strike at Lebanon. This could happen under one of two scenarios: either that Israel decides to take care of Hezbullah before it feels it has to strike Iran's nuclear capability, or that Israel decides that Hezbullah's rocket supply is getting too big to ignore. I don't believe the second scenario is likely because if that were the case, I believe it would have happened already. But it's entirely conceivable that Israel would pre-emptively strike Hezbullah to remove that threat before it has to go after Iran. In that case, Israel would be looking for at least a month of lead time before Iran's nuclear capability is scheduled to go on line. The delayed international effort to stop Iran is bringing the day that Israel may have to take matters into its own hands much closer. When it comes to its own survival, Israel will not defer to the international community. The nearly wall-to-wall support for Operation Cast Lead a year ago (91% of the Jewish population) proves that.Ahmadinejad may never have a chance to play the Hezbullah card.
For once, the Obama administration did the right thing.
via israelmatzav.blogspot.comUS Secretary of State Hilary Clinton sent a message to Beirut that Washington cannot prevent an Israeli strike in Lebanon as long as arms smuggling to Hezbollah continues.
It is just a matter of time before Israel's hand is forced... Much like the War of Attrition, and every other war with the Arabs, the enemy builds up it's forces onthe border. This is a pattern from history and whenever you read it online that Israeldid indeed attack first they always deny the correlative fact that the enemy had put their forces into position form attack through numbers. This time with missiles. The attack on Lebanon will destroy much of Northern Israel, but it also will flatten Lebanon. This could be a very good thing for Israel because if Iran has a WMD they will certainly attempt to put it North of Israel's border. Israel does not have the liberty to wait to be attacked.
